NFL Betting - The Brett Favre Effect

Yeah, he’s in the twilight of his career and yes, the never-ending circus around “will he or won’t he play” the last few years is tiresome, but Brett Favre just made the Minnesota Vikings a much better football team.

Despite the age and questions about his health, he is a proven QB and if his arm is healthy since off-season surgery, an real improvement over Sage Rosenfels and Tarvaris Jackson.

NFL betting section in sports betting community took note once the news of his signing was announced, as money flowed in on the “Over 9.5” for the Vikings “Season Win Total” at online sportsbook.

SPORTSBETTING.com also reported a jump in action on Minnesota to win the NFC North. As it stands, Minnesota is listed at +130 to win their division, the NFC North; they are also listed at +500 to win the NFC championship and +1300 to win this year’s Super Bowl.

With Favre lining up behind center last season, the New York Jets went 9-7 straight up and 7-9 against the spread.

Meanwhile, the Vikings went 10-6 straight up and 6-10 ATS in 2008.

ESPN’s Cris Carter is reporting that Favre will start at QB this Friday when the Vikes host the Kansas City Chiefs in preseason action; Minnesota is a 3.5-point favorite.

Fast-forwarding to Week 1 of the regular season, the Minnesota Vikings will open with a road game against the Cleveland Browns, listed as 3-point favorites with the Total set at 39.5. Money also showed up on the Vikings side in this matchup, pushing the breakdown to 63% of all the action on the visitor.

In the last 20 games when listed as a fave of 4-points or less, the Vikings are quite profitable at 12-8 ATS. They do have a significant “Under” trend going in this situation, as they have posted 2 overs and 9 unders the last 11.

The game that everyone is now eyeing takes place on November 1 when the Vikes will play at Lambeau Field. Big divisional matchup and Favre hitting the field wearing a Viking jersey.

SPORTSBETTING.com lets you bet on this game right now with their “Games of the Year” prop offering. The Green Bay Packers are 2.5-point favorites in Game of the Year betting.

In Minnesota’s last 10 visits to Lambeau they are 7-3 ATS at the same time.

Should Favre return to form and lead the Minnesota Vikings to a successful season, he could be a candidate for NFL MVP and he is listed at +1800 to take this year’s award.

Like a cat, Brett Favre seems to have nine lives in the NFL football betting league, with his latest stint taking him back to the NFC North.

Is he past his prime or will he rekindle the magic?

We’ll see.

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