US Asphalt Consumption to Exceed 30 Million Tons in 2013

US consumption of asphalt products is projected to increase 1.7 percent annually to 30.8 million tons in 2013.  This is equivalent to 169 million barrels of primary asphalt, the vast majority of which is refined petroleum asphalt.  The expected growth represents a rebound from the 2003-2008 time frame, when consumption declined sharply.  Demand gains will derive primarily from the recovery of new residential construction from its weak 2008 levels, benefiting both roofing and paving products.  Gains will be moderated by slower than average growth in both residential and nonresidential improvement and repair applications and an outright decline in demand in new nonresidential building applications. These and other trends, including market share and product segmentation, are presented in US Asphalt, a new study from The Freedonia Group, Inc., a Cleveland-based industry research firm.

Paving products accounted for more than 80 percent of overall asphalt consumption in 2008.  Demand for asphalt paving products will benefit from increased federal and state spending on highway and road construction.  Gains will advance from a weak 2008 base, when extremely high asphalt prices led to a rollback in paving activity.  As paving asphalt prices moderate, the volume of paving asphalt consumed will expand.  Overall, demand for asphalt in paving uses is forecast to increase 1.7 percent annually to 25.5 million tons in 2013.

Demand for asphalt in roofing and other applications is forecast to rise 1.6 percent annually to 5.3 million tons in 2013.  This is a considerable improvement from the very weak levels of 2008, reflecting a recovery in construction of single-family housing, which will benefit asphalt roofing used in steep slope applications, primarily asphalt shingles.  Demand will also benefit from the growing demand for modified asphaltic membranes in low-slope roofing applications, although much of this is a replacement of other asphalt products, such as standard asphalt felts and roofing asphalts.  Growth opportunities will also continue to present themselves in maintenance and repair applications in both residential and nonresidential markets.

The Freedonia Group is a leading international business research company, founded in 1985, that publishes more than 100 industry research studies annually. This industry analysis provides an unbiased outlook and a reliable assessment of an industry and includes product segmentation and demand forecasts, industry trends, demand history, threats and opportunities, competitive strategies, market share determinations and company profiles.