Washington D.C. 1/7/2008 8:43:49 PM
News / Politics

Barack Obama Leads New Hampshire Poll Released by USA Today/Gallup Poll

Here are the latest results from the New Hampshire poll by USA Today/Gallup Poll published on USAElectionPolls.com:

There were 778 voters polled with a middle-date of the poll approximately 1/5/08.

USA Today/Gallup Poll
Date: 1/4-6/08
New Hampshire
Added: 1/7/08
Est. MoE = 3.5%
Barack Obama 41%
Hillary Clinton 28%
John Edwards 19%
Bill Richardson 6%
Dennis Kucinich 3%
Unsure 2%
Other 1%

Quote:

Sens. Obama and Clinton were essentially tied among both registered voters and likely voters in New Hampshire in the Dec. 17-19 USA Today/Gallup poll. By this past weekend, after the Iowa caucuses, Obama had moved slightly ahead of Clinton among registered voters, but jumped more significantly ahead among likely voters. Obama now has a substantial 13-point, 41% to 28% lead over Clinton among likely voters, with Sen. John Edwards following in third place, with 19% of the vote. This marks a dramatic shift from just 2 1-2 weeks ago.

All in all, Obama's share of the vote among likely voters went up by nine points between the two polls, Clinton's dropped by four points, Edwards' share went up by one point, Gov. Bill Richardson's dropped by two points, and Rep. Dennis Kucinich's share stayed the same. The "no opinion" or "other" percentage went from 2% to 3% between the two polls. (The mid-December USA Today/Gallup poll included the names of Sens. Joseph Biden and Christopher Dodd -- both of whom dropped out of the race after last Thursday's Iowa caucuses. Those two candidates had 5% support between them in the December poll.)

The largest shift came in Democratic voters' views of the candidate who "has the best chance of beating the Republican in November." Obama jumped by 19 points on this dimension between the two polls, while Clinton fell by 13 points. The result? Whereas Clinton led Obama on this dimension by 21 points in mid-December, Obama now leads Clinton by 11 points after Iowa.

Source: Presidential Polls

The average poll results over the last 30 days in the New Hampshire polls from USAElectionPolls.com are:

Candidate %
Hillary Clinton 32
Barack Obama 30
John Edwards 17
Bill Richardson 6
Joe Biden 2
Chris Dodd 1
Dennis Kucinich 2