Washington D.C. 1/7/2008 9:04:42 PM
News / Politics

John McCain Leads New Hampshire Poll Released by USA Today/Gallup Poll

Here are the latest results from the New Hampshire poll by USA Today/Gallup Poll published on USAElectionPolls.com:

There were 776 voters polled with a middle-date of the poll approximately 1/5/08.

USA Today/Gallup Poll
Date: 1/4-6/08
New Hampshire
Est. MoE = 3.3%
John McCain 34%
Mitt Romney 30%
Mike Huckabee 13%
Rudy Giuliani 8%
Ron Paul 8%
Fred Thompson 3%
Duncan Hunter 1%
Unsure 2%
Other 1%

Quote:

A key question since Huckabee's dramatic win in Iowa has been its potential impact on New Hampshire Republican primary voters. Iowa -- with a significant proportion of evangelical Christians -- was fertile ground for the former Baptist minister's campaign, but it has been unclear whether more secular New Hampshire would be as receptive to his appeal.

There are indications that Huckabee has moved up sharply among Republicans nationally since the Iowa vote (new national Gallup Poll data will be reviewed here at gallup.com on Tuesday). But the weekend poll in New Hampshire shows little sign that Huckabee has been able to transform his Iowa victory into anything approaching the type of surge seen for Obama among New Hampshire Democrats. Huckabee had 9% of the vote in mid-December and 13% in the weekend, post-Iowa poll, a gain of just four percentage points.

The more significant change that occurred between the two polls was in the relative positioning of the two front-runners in the Republican field -- Romney and McCain. Whereas Romney led McCain among likely New Hampshire primary voters by seven points in mid-December, McCain now leads Romney by four points. The four-point McCain lead is not statistically significant, but suggests he has a real chance of coming away from New Hampshire with a victory, as he did in 2000. Rudy Giuliani's share of the New Hampshire vote dropped by three points, and he is tied with Ron Paul for fourth place in the poll. Fred Thompson, who tied McCain for third in Iowa, looks to be an afterthought in New Hampshire.

Source: Presidential Polls

The average poll results over the last 30 days in the New Hampshire polls from USAElectionPolls.com are:

Candidate %
Rudy Giuliani 11
Mitt Romney 29
Mike Huckabee 11
John McCain 29
Ron Paul 7
Fred Thompson 3