Here are the latest results from the Arizona poll by Behavior Research Center Rocky Mountain Poll published on USAElectionPolls.com:
There were 314 voters polled on 1/20-24.
Behavior Research Center Rocky Mountain Poll Date: 1/20-24 Arizona Added: 1/26/08 Est. MoE = 5.3% |
|
Hillary Clinton | 37% |
Barack Obama | 27% |
John Edwards | 15% |
Dennis Kucinich | 2% |
Mike Gravel | 1% |
Unsure | 18% |
Quote:
At the moment Clinton clings to a lead that appears to be shrinking. Polls taken by ASU a week earlier showed Clinton with a much wider margin. This narrowing vote dynamic may be reflective of what has been seen in other elections around the country – tight contests on election day after early wide leads by Clinton.There are several factors that should give strong motivation for supporters of both Obama and Clinton to get out their vote on election day. The most obvious of these is that even though 53 percent of Democrats say their voting intentions are “firm,” fully 47 percent of all Democratic voters remain in play. More specifically, 31 percent say they may change their vote even though today they lean toward one of the candidates. Another 18 percent admit that they are still trying to make up their minds.
Things to watch on election day that might favor Obama include a large turn out of women, voters under 35 years of age and African-American voters. Conversely, a strong turn out among middle and lower income Democrats, Hispanics, men and retirement age Democrats favors Clinton’s candidacy.
Candidate John Edwards attracts the support of only 15 percent of Democratic voters while Kucinich and Gravel have little or no appeal here.
Source: Latest Polls, State Presidential Primary Polls
The average poll results over the last 5 days in the Arizona polls from USAElectionPolls.com are:
Candidate | % |
Hillary Clinton | 37 |
Barack Obama | 27 |
John Edwards | 15 |