Here are the latest results from the Arizona poll by Behavior Research Center Rocky Mountain Poll published on USAElectionPolls.com:
There were 314 voters polled on 1/20-24.
| Behavior Research Center Rocky Mountain Poll Date: 1/20-24 Arizona Est. MoE = 5.4% |
|
| John McCain | 40% |
| Mitt Romney | 23% |
| Mike Huckabee | 9% |
| Rudy Giuliani | 7% |
| Fred Thompson | 7% |
| Ron Paul | 3% |
| Duncan Hunter | 1% |
| Unsure | 10% |
Quote:
On the Republican side, the early low profile campaign strategy of Rudy Giuliani has cost him dearly in Arizona as GOP voters look elsewhere for leadership and find it mostly in John McCain and Mitt Romney. By not competing in the early primaries, it appears that Giuliani has relegated himself to the political non-entity level in Arizona after briefly leading in the polls last fall. Today, Giuliani attracts only seven percent and barely three percent are strongly committed to his election. The marginal performance of Giuliani may come to stand as a classic example of how not to run a presidential campaign in a western state like Arizona where the phrase “From New York City?” may cut deeper than preferences for taco sauce.McCain holds a commanding 40 percent compared to 23 percent for Romney, nine percent for Huckabee and just seven percent for Thompson. Thompson withdrew from the race earlier this week but his name will remain on the ballot. Some think that Thompson supporters will shift to McCain, but they very well might find Romney or Huckabee of great appeal. If these voters do gravitate toward McCain, it is basically a wrap for McCain in Arizona but if not, the GOP race could also become significantly more competitive. Among most likely to vote Republican, McCain’s lead over Romney shrinks from 17 to 13 points.
While the Republican presidential primary appears more settled than the Democratic race, it too could also experience some shifts by election day. This traces to the fact that a four of ten GOP voters who “lean” toward one candidate or the other admit they could change their mind on who they favor between now and election day. Another ten percent were without any favorite at the time of this survey .
Source: Latest Polls, State Presidential Primary Polls
The average poll results over the last 5 days in the Arizona polls from USAElectionPolls.com are:
| Candidate | % |
| Rudy Giuliani | 7 |
| Mitt Romney | 23 |
| Mike Huckabee | 9 |
| John McCain | 40 |
| Ron Paul | 3 |
