Here are the latest results from the Texas poll by InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Research published on USAElectionPolls.com:
There were 609 voters polled on 3/2.
| InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Research Date: 3/2 Texas Added: 3/4/08 Est. MoE = 4.0% |
|
| Hillary Clinton | 49% |
| Barack Obama | 44% |
| Unsure | 7% |
Quote:
InsiderAdvantage CEO Matt Towery: “This is a lonely and difficult spot for a pollster. However, we have polled thousands of voters in Texas and have yet to show Sen. Obama leading. Our weighting is designed to discount Hispanic turnout in areas where historically their turnout has been lighter, and to maximize potential African-American turnout. Even with this model, which we believe to be accurate, though obviously not a perfect situation for Clinton, she leads.“Moreover, in an entirely separate survey that we conducted of early voters, Clinton led by a 55%-to-43% margin. While much of this early vote is probably accounted for in the poll cited above – because we ask the inclusive question, “If the election were held today?,” the separate survey that measured Clinton’s clear edge among early voters may help explain Clinton’s overall edge in our poll.
“It is entirely possible that we have missed the mark here, given that so many pollsters have shown Sen. Obama with a growing lead. But I would note that the most recent surveys all indicate a tightening of the race; and also that the breakdown by demographics in our survey is amazingly similar to the PPP numbers. If nothing else, it appears that Texas truly is up for grabs,” Towery said.
Source: Current Polls, State Presidential Primary Polls
The average poll results over the last 5 days in the Texas polls from USAElectionPolls.com are:
| Candidate | % |
| Hillary Clinton | 47 |
| Barack Obama | 46 |
