Here are the latest results from the North Carolina poll by Insider Advantage published on USAElectionPolls.com:
There were 460 voters polled on 3/27.
Insider Advantage Date: 3/27 North Carolina Added: 3/31/08 Est. MoE = 4.6% |
|
Barack Obama | 49% |
Hillary Clinton | 34% |
Unsure | 17% |
Quote:
“Firewall state” has been the king of clichés during this campaign season, but that term has never applied more than North Carolina does for Clinton. If she loses badly here, regardless of any modest gains in the national delegate count, her candidacy may be done unless her primary victories in Florida and Michigan somehow end up being seated at the national nominating convention.Most troubling for Clinton is that the trends in our polling of North Carolina show that a modest but significant portion of whites are drifting from Clinton back into the “undecided” column. Twenty percent of whites are undecided.“
Usually voters who change their minds do so gradually,” said Matt Towery, CEO of InsiderAdvantage. “A voter who’s going to switch from Clinton to Obama likely will first say they are undecided, and only later make a complete switch from her to him,” he said.
Our new poll also indicates that the controversy about Barack Obama’s fiery former church pastor so far isn’t alienating enough whites to significantly boost Clinton’s chances for a comeback in the Democratic race, at least in North Carolina.
Source: National Polls, State Presidential Primary Polls
The average poll results over the last 5 days in the North Carolina polls from USAElectionPolls.com are:
Candidate | % |
Hillary Clinton | 34 |
Barack Obama | 49 |