Here are the latest results from the Pennsylvania poll by TIME / SRBI published on USAElectionPolls.com:
There were 676 voters polled on 4/2-6.
| TIME / SRBI Date: 4/2-6 Pennsylvania Added: 4/10/08 Est. MoE = 3.7% |
|
| Hillary Clinton | 44% |
| Barack Obama | 38% |
Quote:
There also appears to be a measure of deep anti-Obama sentiment in Clinton's Keystone State coalition. Roughly a quarter of Clinton voters — 26%, the poll found — say they "would be more likely" to vote for John McCain in the general election if Obama is eventually the Democratic nominee. By contrast, only 16% of Obama's backers report they would be likely to vote for McCain if Clinton emerged as the party's nominee.Though Obama won majorities of white voters earlier in the primary season, he has struggled more recently to maintain those margins, and that trend appears to be holding in Pennsylvania. Obama is getting the votes of 80% of the state's black Democrats but only 30% of white voters. Clinton is winning only 8% of blacks, but is backed by 51% of the white voters. Some 8% of whites and 12% of blacks are undecided.
A similar pattern can be seen in how Keystone Democrats of differing incomes regard the two candidates. Some 55% of white Democrats who make less than $55,000 back Clinton in Pennsylvania, while only 22% in that financial bracket favor Obama. Above $50,000, the state's white Democrats split almost evenly: 45% support Clinton and 41% are backing Obama.
The TIME poll shows other advantages for Clinton in Pennsylvania. When leaners — voters who have not firmly decided whom to vote for but are leaning one way or the other — are added in, Clinton's six point lead grows to eight points, 49% to 41%. Here, too, one can see signs of Clinton's inherent strengths among women: Clinton does better with both male and female leaners than Obama, but women would break for her in greater numbers than men would, the survey reports.
Source: Recent Polls, State Presidential Primary Polls
The average poll results over the last 5 days in the Pennsylvania polls from USAElectionPolls.com are:
| Candidate | % |
| Hillary Clinton | 49 |
| Barack Obama | 41 |
