Here are the latest results from the Pennsylvania poll by Temple University published on USAElectionPolls.com:
There were 583 voters polled on 3/27-4/9.
| Temple University Date: 3/27-4/9 Pennsylvania Added: 4/11/08 Est. MoE = 4.1% |
|
| Hillary Clinton | 47% |
| Barack Obama | 41% |
| Refused | 2% |
| Unsure | 9% |
| Other | 2% |
Quote:
The contest is strikingly close, however, among white men, with Obama leading in that group, 40 – 35. That group also is especially likely to express equally favorable opinions about Clinton and Obama. “White men stand out as the group with the most ambivalence about the candidates, as a group and individually,” said Hagen. “That is certainly the reason the candidates have focused so much of their attention on white men in recent weeks.”The race remains close enough that turnout will be critical, especially in the all-important allocation of convention delegates. The two sides bring different assets to the turnout contest. The Clinton campaign has the backing of more of Pennsylvania’s top elected officials, but the Obama campaign will have more money to spend to get out the vote.
As the Poll shows, supporters of the two candidates also may be motivated to vote by quite different considerations: Clinton supporters are more likely to have a history of voting, while Obama supporters are more engaged in this particular election. The difference is due partly to the age difference between the two groups—the average Obama supporter is seven years younger than the average Clinton supporter—and partly to the success of the Obama campaign in attracting the support of people with little political experience. “Habit and enthusiasm are both very important ingredients in getting people to the polls, and these camps have the two in different measures,” according to Hagen. “It will be fascinating to see how the differences between these coalitions and between these campaign organizations interact to determine the primary’s result.”
Source: State Primary Polls, State Presidential Primary Polls
The average poll results over the last 5 days in the Pennsylvania polls from USAElectionPolls.com are:
| Candidate | % |
| Hillary Clinton | 47 |
| Barack Obama | 41 |
