Washington D.C. 4/15/2008 1:49:07 AM
News / Politics

Pennsylvania Poll Released by Susquehanna Polling and Research Inc: Barack Obama 37%, Hillary Clinton 40%

Here are the latest results from the Pennsylvania poll by Susquehanna Polling and Research Inc published on USAElectionPolls.com:

There were 500 voters polled on 4/6-10.

Susquehanna Polling and Research Inc
Date: 4/6-10
Pennsylvania
Added: 4/14/08
Est. MoE = 4.3%
Hillary Clinton 40%
Barack Obama 37%
Unsure 18%

Quote:

“Clinton’s 3-point lead is within the poll’s 4% margin of error, so this race is now a virtual toss-up,” said Jim Lee, the firm’s president, who conducted the poll for public dissemination. “Obama has a strong 62/19 favorable to unfavorable ratio in name ID (better than 3:1), and has succeeded in building up his positive image in the state, something he said all along he was capable of doing if voters had more time to get to know him. At the same time, Clinton’s name ID shows a higher negative than Obama, with 25% having an unfavorable opinion of her compared to 61% who view Clinton as favorable,” Lee added.

Clinton still leads in the culturally conservative Southwest (57/17), the Northeast (44/26) and Central “T”/Johnstown-Altoona media market (40/32), but her leads in these areas has narrowed in comparison to March when she was winning with bigger margins. Perhaps most surprising is Clinton’s shrinking margin in the Northeast, her natural strength given her family ties to the area, where her 38-point, 56/18 margin over Obama in March has now shrunk to 18 points (a swing of 20). Meanwhile, Obama has strengthened his lead in the Harrisburg/South Central region (now 39/29), and surpassed Clinton in the 4 suburban counties surrounding Philadelphia (now 45/40), whereas Clinton led in March by a 42/35 margin; Obama’s 50/30 lead in Philadelphia is unchanged from our earlier poll. “Obama’s media efforts are clearly paying off, he’s holding his base in the socially liberal areas of the state, and at the same time, has chipped away at her lead in areas where he knows he can’t win, but can at least have a respectable showing, namely in Central and Western PA, where Reagan Democrats are still key to a Clinton victory,” Lee said.

Source: State Primary Polls, State Presidential Primary Polls

The average poll results over the last 5 days in the Pennsylvania polls from USAElectionPolls.com are:

Candidate %
Hillary Clinton 52
Barack Obama 40