Atlanta, GA 4/16/2008 5:35:46 AM
News / Business

Home Builders Pessimistic About Housing Market

The National Association of Home Builders reported its members remain pessimistic about the housing market as the onslaught of homes facing foreclosures continued.

 

The NAHB's chief economist, David Seiders, says the housing market slump has pushed the economy into a "mild recession." The trade group has been pushing aggressively on Capitol Hill for legislation, such as a temporary tax credit for home buyers, arguing that doing so could stem the housing downturn.

 

"Measures that stimulate consumer confidence in the housing market, push the fence-sitters into the ring and put a floor under house prices can successfully halt the drag that housing is exerting on the national economy, and help stabilize financial markets at the same time," Seiders said.

 

Fitch Ratings has said that the housing market is likely to continue to contract throughout 2008, and could worsen further in 2009 if the economy slides into a sharp recession. The ratings agency said low mortgage rates, cheaper home prices and government proposals to aid the ailing industry will not be enough to spark a turnaround.

 

"Despite a few steps in the right direction, the U.S. housing market remains mired in a steep cyclical decline, with more pain likely for U.S. home builders through 2008," said Fitch homebuilding analyst Robert Curran.

 

RealtyTrac also said more trouble is ahead.

 

Estimates of 750,000 to 1 million bank-owned properties hitting the market this year, or about a quarter of the homes up for sale, are expected to continue to slow sales and depress prices further in some areas.

 

Declining home prices and stricter lending requirements have exacerbated the foreclosure environment. Homeowners stuck in unmanageable mortgages aren't able to sell their homes or refinance into cheaper loans before their mortgage payments reset higher.

 

Foreclosures by state

 

Foreclosure filings

1 filing for every X household (rate)

Change from Feb. '08

Change from March '07

United States

234,685

         538

4.9%

57.4%

Alabama

649

      3,251

-8.1%

-19.5%

Alaska

192

      1,440

29.7%

95.9%

Arizona

9,199

         283

-4.7%

106%

Arkansas

1,210

      1,053

-13.1%

140%

California

64,711

         204

20.7%

106%

Colorado

6,180

         339

-8.3%

-1.4%

Connecticut

2,126

         674

-3.3%

40.2%

Delaware

192

      1,994

-15.8%

34.3%

District of Columbia

307

         921

-9.7%

6,040%*

Florida

30,254

         282

-6.8%

112%

Georgia

11,047

         351

44.8%*

63.2%

Hawaii

120

      4,167

-16.1%

84.6%

Idaho

657

         937

-14.6%

85.1%

Illinois

8,623

         603

-1.5%

10.3%

Indiana

5,119

         538

-0.5%

18.2%

Iowa

512

      2,579

8.3%

-11.7%

Kansas

710

      1,701

55.7%

58.8%

Kentucky

691

      2,733

45.2%

-1.3%

Louisiana

626

      2,923

-3.7%

8.1%

Maine

196

      3,526

-3.5%

201%*

Maryland

4,275

         538

6.5%

343%

Mass.

5,573

         486

42.7%

59.4%

Michigan

9,494

         475

-13.4%

10.3%

Minnesota

1,323

      1,726

-15.8%

63.7%

Mississippi

188

      6,604

27.0%

100%

Missouri

3,368

         779

-2.9%

35.0%

Montana

154

      2,805

-14.9%

31.6%

Nebraska

274

      2,828

18.6%

-23.3%

Nevada

7,659

         139

24.2%

61.7%

New Hampshire

414

      1,425

-35.6%

260%*

New Jersey

4,482

         775

-19.9%

-6.2%

New Mexico

342

      2,486

-32.1%

4.9%

New York

5,088

      1,554

-3.0%

37.1%

North Carolina

3,298

      1,222

-18.6%

1.8%

North Dakota

8

    38,475

-63.6%

-66.7%

Ohio

11,273

         448

8.5%

37.1%

Oklahoma

1,447

      1,111

-19.2%

27.2%

Oregon

1,633

         972

3.1%

119%

Pennsylvania

2,900

      1,880

20.1%

-0.7%

Rhode Island

398

      1,130

-10.8%

26.0%

South Carolina

932

      2,120

33.5%

174%*

South Dakota

16

    22,051

-38.5%

-50.0%

Tennessee

3,907

         686

-21.2%

22.9%

Texas

10,700

         862

-12.7%

-16.1%

Utah

1,230

         733

-4.5%

93.4%

Vermont

2

  154,779

-50.0%

100%*

Virginia

4,933

         655

17.8%

368%*

Washington

3,830

         705

72.52*

120.6%

West Virginia

68

    12,909

74.4%

-28.4%

Wisconsin

2,073

      1,222

-13.4%

150.7%

Wyoming

82

      2,917

28.1%

720%*

*Actual increase may not be as high due to data collection changes or improvements

Source:RealtyTrac