Washington D.C. 4/18/2008 5:36:14 PM
News / Politics

Pennsylvania Poll Released by Franklin Marshall College Poll: Barack Obama 40%, Hillary Clinton 46%

Here are the latest results from the Pennsylvania poll by Franklin Marshall College Poll published on USAElectionPolls.com:

There were 547 voters polled on 4/8-13.

Franklin Marshall College Poll
Date: 4/8-13
Pennsylvania
Added: 4/16/08
Est. MoE = 4.2%
Hillary Clinton 46%
Barack Obama 40%
Unsure 14%

Quote:

These demographic differences will be the key feature of the campaign as the race enters the final week. Differential turnout by gender, age, and region of the state will determine whether the state moves toward one candidate or the other. For example, respondents from Philadelphia and Southeastern Pennsylvania represent 31 percent of likely voters in the sample but represent 36 percent of the state’s registered Democrats. Since Obama leads among these voters, turnout that is equivalent to registration in the Southeast would mean a closer race. The same is true for the youngest voters (ages 18-34), who represent only seven percent of likely voters but constitute about one-quarter of all registered Democrats.

The number of registered Democrats in Pennsylvania has increased markedly since November, with about 275,000 new or party change applications going to the Democrats, representing about seven percent of the state’s registered Democrats. The survey finds that 62 percent of Democrats who registered within the past three months plan to vote for Obama.

Four in ten (39%) Democrats feel that the news media has been harder on Clinton compared to only five percent who feel the media has been harder on Obama. Although more Democrats feel Clinton has been treated unfairly by the media, more also say that her campaign has been unfair to Obama (28%) than vice versa (18% say Obama’s campaign has been unfair to Clinton). Almost all (94%) registered Democrats have seen a television ad for the Obama campaign, and nearly nine in ten (88%) have seen a Clinton commercial. Democrats believe

Source: Latest Polls, State Presidential Primary Polls

The average poll results over the last 5 days in the Pennsylvania polls from USAElectionPolls.com are:

Candidate %
Hillary Clinton 51
Barack Obama 41