Here are the latest results from the Pennsylvania poll by Insider Advantage published on USAElectionPolls.com:
There were 712 voters polled on 4/21.
Insider Advantage Date: 4/21 Pennsylvania Added: 4/22/08 Est. MoE = 3.7% |
|
Hillary Clinton | 49% |
Barack Obama | 42% |
Unsure | 9% |
Quote:
InsiderAdvantage’s Matt Towery: "The undecided vote moved slowly downward between our Sunday night survey and our Monday night round of polling. Since both samples had virtually the same number of respondents, it is fair to conclude that the last minute voters were moving more in Obama’s direction. That said, from my experience, if a voter is still undecided the day before a race, they likely are not voting. If I had to guess, and it would be a guess, I would see this as a 53% or 54% Clinton win. The only way this could be much closer is if this race has been so intense that the undecideds in the poll truly are undecided and they continue to break for Obama. Were that the case, Clinton would win by a much smaller margin, perhaps as little as two or three percent. Obama’s team is betting on this scenario, while Clinton’s folks are hoping that, as far as the undecideds that remain, they will behave as usual and not vote. We shall see.”
Source: State Primary Polls, State Presidential Primary Polls
The average poll results over the last 5 days in the Pennsylvania polls from USAElectionPolls.com are:
Candidate | % |
Hillary Clinton | 49 |
Barack Obama | 43 |