Here are the latest results from the North Carolina poll by Insider Advantage published on USAElectionPolls.com:
There were 781 voters polled on 5/4.
| Insider Advantage Date: 5/4 North Carolina Added: 5/5/08 Est. MoE = 3.5% |
|
| Barack Obama | 48% |
| Hillary Clinton | 45% |
| Unsure | 7% |
Quote:
InsiderAdvantage’s Matt Towery: “Really interesting dynamics at play here. Clinton has increased her lead among white voters to 58% - very close to the 60% plus level needed to pull off a victory. She now leads among those who say they are Democrats but has started to trail among Unaffiliated voters, who are allowed to participate in Tuesday’s election. Additionally, African-American voters are not quite as solid with Obama as they have been, at least based on previous exit polls. Clinton has remained in the upper teens (17%) of African-American support in our recent surveys. African-American turnout will be the key to this race. Our poll is based on a turnout model of 35% African-American vote. Anything under that number could give Clinton a shocking upset. But Indiana has become a true horserace that should concern the Clinton camp.” Towery adds “ What is ironic is that Clinton has an outside chance to pull off a near-tie or victory in North Carolina, but our preliminary overnight numbers in Indiana show her losing steam, but holding a lead, in that state. We will release Indiana numbers by midday Monday.”Whites: Clinton 59%, Obama 33%. Blacks: Obama 79%, Clinton 18%. Men: Obama 50%, Clinton 44%. Women: Obama 47%, Clinton 45%.
Source: State Primary Polls, State Presidential Primary Polls
The average poll results over the last 5 days in the North Carolina polls from USAElectionPolls.com are:
| Candidate | % |
| Hillary Clinton | 39 |
| Barack Obama | 48 |
