Here are the latest results from the North Carolina poll by Survey USA published on USAElectionPolls.com:
There were 810 voters polled on 5/2-4.
Survey USA Date: 5/2-4 North Carolina Added: 5/6/08 Est. MoE = 3.4% |
|
Barack Obama | 50% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% |
Unsure | 5% |
Quote:
In Charlotte and Western NC, there is the slightest momentum for Clinton. In the Research Triangle, in Southern NC and in Coastal NC, there is slight offsetting momentum to Obama. The net is a wash. If Obama wins, it will be entirely from the 19% of voters who describe themselves as liberal.Clinton leads by 9 among conservatives and leads by 8 among moderates.
If Obama wins the popular vote, it will be because of his 16-point advantage among liberals. Clinton has increasing momentum among voters age 50 to 64, where she has gone from 30% in January to 51% today, her highest showing.
Among those age 65+, Clinton leads by 20 points; the more seniors who vote, the better Clinton does. But there is offsetting momentum among younger voters, some of whom may be first-time voters, and not all of whom may show-up at the precinct. 1 in 4 of SurveyUSA's likely voters say they have already voted. Among those who say they have already voted, Obama leads by 16 points. Among those who say they will vote on Primary Day, Obama and Clinton are effectively tied.
Source: State Primary Polls, State Presidential Primary Polls
The average poll results over the last 5 days in the North Carolina polls from USAElectionPolls.com are:
Candidate | % |
Hillary Clinton | 42 |
Barack Obama | 49 |