Washington D.C. 7/12/2008 5:21:05 AM
News / Politics

Washington Poll Released by Rasmussen Reports: Barack Obama 48%, John McCain 39%

Here are the latest results from the Washington poll by Rasmussen Reports published on USAElectionPolls.com:

There were 500 voters polled on 7/11.

Rasmussen Reports
Date: 7/11
Washington
Added: 7/11/08
Barack Obama 48%
John McCain 39%
Unsure 8%
Other 5%

Quote:

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Washington finds Obama ahead 48% to 39%. When “leaners” are included, Obama leads 51% to 43%.

While Obama has a decisive 52% to 35% lead over McCain among women in Washington, the two candidates are essentially tied among men. McCain is supported by 91% of Republicans and Obama earns the vote from 83% of Democrats. Neither candidate has a significant edge over among voters not affiliated with either political party.

Obama is viewed favorably by 59% of Washington voters and unfavorably by 40%. McCain’s numbers are 55% favorable, 45% unfavorable.

The latest numbers from the Evergreen State show a much closer race than last month, when Obama led 53% to 35%. However, they are similar to results from the prior survey in May.

Individual polls can sometimes overstate volatility in a race, especially when the results carry a four-and-a-half percentage point margin of sampling error. One way of addressing this is to look at a rolling-average of three consecutive polls. Using this approach, McCain leads Obama 51% to 38%. Last month’s three-poll average showed McCain up by twelve. The June survey was conducted shortly after Obama clinched the nomination and may have reflected a temporary bounce in his support.

Source: National Polls, Electoral College Results