Here are the latest results from the Misc Pollsters National Polls poll by IBD TIPP published on USAElectionPolls.com:
There were 854 voters polled on 7/11-19.
IBD TIPP Date: 7/11-19 Added: 7/17/08 |
|
Barack Obama | 40% |
John McCain | 37% |
Unsure | 10% |
Quote:
Among independents, however, Obama has pulled ahead and opened up a 42% to 28% lead. Last month, McCain had a 38%-37% edge among these important voters. Independents who haven't made up their minds jumped to 26% from 19%. Obama's lead among self-described "moderates" is even larger — 46%-22% — with 29% unsure.Compared with the 78% support that McCain has with Republicans in general, conservatives back him by 67%, with 17% still undecided. Obama polls 13% among conservatives.
In sharp contrast, liberals favor Obama by 85%-7% , with just 4% of them undecided. Although McCain has acted in recent weeks to align himself more with conservatives, his conservative bona fides continue to be challenged by some right-wing pundits and radio talk-show hosts.
Some note, for example, that while the senator now supports drilling for oil on the Outer Continental Shelf, he remains opposed to energy development in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge in Alaska.
It should be noted, however, that George W. Bush at this point in the 2004 presidential campaign was pulling only 65% of conservatives.
Among another key Republican voting group — at-least-once-a-week churchgoers — McCain is polling 50% vs. Obama's 26%. Obama is favored by those who say they attend church a few times a month (36%-29%) and a few times a year (51%-33%). Those who never go to church support the Democrat by 60% to 25%.
By region, Obama and McCain are in statistical dead heats in the Northeast, Midwest and South (with Obama holding slight leads in the first two and McCain narrowly up in the South). In the West, however, Obama enjoys a commanding 50% to 29% advantage.
In "blue" (Democratic-trending) states, Obama is ahead 51% to 30%; in "red" (GOPtrending) states, McCain leads 41% to 32%. In the all-important "swing" states, they are statistically tied.
Obama does better with urban voters (50%-31%) than McCain does with suburban (41%- 36%) and rural (44%-28%) voters.
Source: Latest Polls, Electoral College Results