Washington D.C. 7/29/2008 11:46:40 AM
News / Politics

National Poll Released by Research 2000 for DailyKos.com: Barack Obama 51%, John McCain 39%, Bob Barr 3%

Here are the latest results from the Misc Pollsters National Polls poll by Research 2000 for DailyKos.com published on USAElectionPolls.com:

There were 1100 voters polled on 7/25-27.

Research 2000 for DailyKos.com
Date: 7/25-27
Added: 7/28/08
Barack Obama 51%
John McCain 39%
Bob Barr 3%
Ralph Nader 2%

Quote:

Obama has increased his advantages in the northeast over Kerry's in 2004 by a healthy 12 points. No one has any doubt that the northeast, except perhaps for New Hampshire, will be solidly blue. The South is showing huge Democratic gains, from a minus-16 loss in 2004, to a measly minus-5 in this poll. This bodes well in Florida and even Georgia and Mississippi, which are mathematically in reach if the African American vote turns out in historic numbers.

The West is also swinging heavier toward Obama than it did Kerry, probably reflecting the solid leads Obama enjoys in Washington and Oregon, not to mention the gains Democrats have made in Colorado and smaller states like North Dakota and Montana.

But the midwest .... here's where we're seeing the most dramatic gains. Bush won the region 51-48 in 2004, and that included heavily Democratic Illinois. It was that narrow victory in the region that allowed Bush to win Iowa, Missouri, and Ohio while keeping Wisconsin and Michigan in play (and Kerry tied up). Yet today, if R2K is correct, Obama would win the region by 16 points. Some of that is an even bigger margin of victory in Illinois (Kerry won it by nine points in 2004), but a lot of that is the wider margins in places like Minnesota and Wisconsin, plus Obama's strong showings in Ohio, Missouri, and Indiana.

Source: Recent Polls, Electoral College Results