Outlook for Florida real estate market remains positive

Sunny Isles Beach Broker News

To gain insight into current trends in Florida’s real estate industry, the University of Florida’s Bergstrom Center for Real Estate Studies conducts a quarterly survey of industry executives, market research economists, real estate scholars and other experts. The second quarter 2008 survey found the long-term outlook for Florida remains positive. “As long as the United States economy has bright prospects and particularly as long as Florida has good prospects, it’s very hard I think to make a case for a long-term picture that’s negative,” said Wayne Archer, director of UF’s Bergstrom Center for Real Estate Studies. He added that the logical time for market cycles to change is likely the spring of 2009.

Continuing low mortgage rates remain another favorable influence on the housing sector. According to Freddie Mac, the national commitment rate for a 30-year conventional fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.09 percent in second quarter 2008; one year earlier, it averaged 6.37 percent.

The latest industry outlook from the National Association of Realtors® (NAR) predicts improvements in existing home sales in the coming months, with broader gains seen by the fourth quarter as buyers take advantage of new provisions provided through the recently approved housing stimulus legislation. “With a tax credit now available to first-time homebuyers, increases in home sales could be sustained with the momentum carrying into 2009,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun.