Here are the latest results from the Oregon poll by Survey USA published on USAElectionPolls.com:
There were 708 voters polled on 9/22-23.
| Survey USA Date: 9/22-23 Oregon Added: 9/25/08 |
|
| Barack Obama | 52% |
| John McCain | 41% |
| Unsure | 3% |
| Other | 4% |
Quote:
Oregon Men Take A 2nd Look At Merkley, Who Catches Smith In Bid To Capture US Senate Seat For Democrats: In an election in Oregon today, 09/25/08, 40 days until votes are counted, Democrats at the top of the ballot both have momentum, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KATU-TV in Portland, and for Roll Call, the newspaper of Capitol Hill. For President, Barack Obama today defeats John McCain 52% to 41%, an 8-point improvement for Obama compared to a SurveyUSA poll released 7 weeks ago, when Obama defeated McCain by 3 points, within that poll's margin of sampling error. Among men, McCain had led by 5, now trails by 7, a 12-point swing to the Democrat. Among voters older than Barack Obama but younger than John McCain, McCain had led by 9, now trails by 11, a 20-point swing to the Democrat. In Eastern OR, McCain had led by 14, now trails by 5, a 19-point swing to the Democrat. Among college grads, Obama had led by 3, now leads by 17, a 14-point swing to the Democrat. Among Independents, Obama's lead has doubled. Among higher-income voters, Obama is 8 points better than was was in August. For the United States Senate seat held by Republican Gordon Smith, the contest today is effectively even, Merkley 44%, Smith 42%, a 14-point improvement for Merkley compared to a SurveyUSA poll released 7 weeks ago, when, Smith led by 12. But: Constitution party candidate Dave Brownlow gets 8% in SurveyUSA polling today, and an additional 6% remain undecided, making the contest difficult to handicap.Among men, Smith led by 16 in August, trails by 7 today. In greater Portland, Smith led by 11 points in August, trails by 6 points today. Among voters under age 50, Smith led by 11 points in August, trails by 8 today. Among Moderates, Smith led by 4 points in August, trails by 7 points today. Among those who have not graduated from college, Smith led by 13 in August, trails by 3 today. Among lower income voters, Smith led by 6 points in August, trails by 6 points today. Brownlow is in double digits among Independents, voters who disapprove of Smith, disapprove of Obama, and voters who earn less than $50,000 a year. Smith has a Net Favorability of Minus 11. Merkley has a Net Favorability of Minus 5. McCain has a Net Favorability of Zero. Obama has a Net Favorability of Plus 17. 24% in Oregon approve of the job that President Bush is doing. 13% approve of the job the US Congress is doing. Asked which of 8 issues was most important, more voters picked the economy than the other 7 issues combined. Voters focused on the economy back Obama by 13 points, back Merkley by 3 points.
Source: National Polls, Electoral College Results
