Here are the latest results from the Nevada poll by Mason Dixon for Las Vegas Review Journal published on USAElectionPolls.com:
There were 625 voters polled on 10/8-9.
Mason Dixon for Las Vegas Review Journal Date: 10/8-9 Nevada Added: 10/12/08 |
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Barack Obama | 47% |
John McCain | 45% |
Quote:
"It's still really, really close," Mason-Dixon managing partner Brad Coker said of the race for Nevada's five electoral votes. "Obama has a little bit of a lead, but it's not as wide as his lead in most of the national polls. Nevada's still very much a battleground, very close and very interesting."With undecided voters choosing sides as the election nears, the plummeting economy is overwhelmingly at the front of their minds, the poll found. And although the two candidates are in what amounts to a statistical tie, Obama has gained major ground since the Review-Journal's last poll of the race, taken in August.
In the August poll, McCain led Obama by a 46 percent to 39 percent margin, with 15 percent undecided.
"Since that time, the undecided number has shrunk by 9 percent and pretty much the entire swing has gone to Obama," noted Mark Peplowski, a political scientist at the College of Southern Nevada. Unless something happens to take the focus off the dismal state of the economy, he said, he would expect the trend to continue to favor Obama.
"All other things being equal, undecideds tend to swing toward the candidate they view as an instrument of change," he said. "If you were to take another survey this weekend, you would probably find an even bigger bump for Obama."
With McCain's level of support in the state remaining basically steady, however, "Nevada continues to be an independent, can't-be-labeled state in this race," Peplowski said. "Nevada is one of the seven states that McCain and Obama are going to fight to the death over from now until Nov. 4."
Source: Current Polls, Electoral College Results