Deposit
control agents are expected to reach 371 million pounds in 2012, valued at $441
million. Growth is expected to slow from
the 9.1 percent per year experienced in value gains from 2002 to 2007. Lubricity improver demand will rise
at an above average pace of 3.5 percent per year from 2007 to 2012, much slower
than the 16.4 percent annual growth seen from 2002 to 2007.
Environmentally-driven
legislation, particularly for diesel fuel, is expected to continue to spur
demand for additives capable of maintaining the performance characteristics of
clean fuels. Regulations will
particularly boost demand for cold flow improvers, which are necessary to
increase the performance of ULSD and biodiesel in colder climates. Corrosion inhibitors are also expected to
show above average growth through 2012 as these additives are needed to
counteract the effects of higher oxygenate levels in fuel.
Fuel
blenders and terminals will continue to carry out the majority of additizing. Refiners will account for much of the rest
with the aftermarket comprising the smallest portion. Top Tier Detergent Gasoline standards are
increasing the amount of deposit control added by gasoline blenders. In addition, growing ULSD production will
increase use of lubricity improvers by storage terminals due to problems with
contamination in pipelines. Minimum
requirements for gasoline deposit control additives will continue to be met by
the refinery. Deposit control additives
will continue to comprise the bulk of the aftermarket, with lubricity and cold
flow improvers seeing increased use by owners of diesel-powered vehicles.
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